Spotlight on Narendra Modi: Good growth but where are the jobs?

[prasad1]

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The so-called Gujarat model may have propelled Narendra Modi to the next orbit and the investment inflow may have quadrupled over the past decade. But has the rapid industrialization translated into employment?


Industrial investment has grown from Rs 66,000 crore in 2000 to Rs 2,40,000 crore in 2010 at a compounded annual growth rate ( CAGR) of 22%. Gross output, too, has grown at a handsome rate of 22%. There were about 1,000 medium and large factories added during this period. However, when it came to job creation, the growth was a dismal 3%, according to data available with Union ministry of statistics and programme implementation.


As per the latest socio-economic survey of the state government, there are 8.79 lakh job seekers listed on the employment exchange as on October 31, 2012. Of this, 8.15 lakh are educated youth.


But the reality could be grimmer. Hemantkumar Shah, an academician considered close to the Sangh ideology, says Gujarat is a classic example of jobless growth. "There has been a decline in growth rates of employment in the decade 2001-2011," he says, arguing that the state government's claim of eight lakh jobless people in Gujarat is not accurate. "There are about 16 lakh unemployed youth, double than what is on record. Data obtained from statistical department suggests that." The annual rate of growth of employment in Gujarat was 2.4% during 1999-00 - 2004-05 (2.89% in India), and it fell to 1.3% during 2004-05 to 2009-10 (1.48% in India).


"The quantity of employment is a concern. But a bigger concern is quality of jobs, low wages, very poor working condition and almost no social protection," says Prof Indira Hirvey. "There is also outright non-implementation of the International Labour Organisation's concept of decent work."


More alarming is the exclusiveness in employment -- there is declining participation of women. And in spite of the high industrial growth, the share of the manufacturing sector in the total employment remains at 20%. But that of the service sector has increased.


The top 10 sectors contributing to Gujarat's industrial output are petrochemicals (35%), chemicals (15%), metals (8%), textiles (5%), food (7%), power (5%), machinery (3%), pharma (2%), plastics (2%), auto (2%) and oil (2%).

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/...t-where-are-the-jobs/articleshow/18872284.cms

 

[kunjuppu]

prasad,

i think statistics do not always tell the social truth. stats is numbers manipulated often to refelct a pre defined attitude or formula. just like the proverbial depth of the river, saying nothing about the deepest part and of no use to the guy who does not know how to swim.

admittedly modi has his admirers. ardent ones at that too, for whom modi could do no wrong. tambrams, as a group, i think would flock to modi, because they see him at a distance. if there is anyone here, who lives in gujarat, and can atleast give an opinion of a resident, it would be the first first hand feedback that i would be reading, if it be a biased one. for or against.

modi, by failing to understand the repercussions of godhra, prbably built his own grave, as far as national ambitions are concerned. there are a lot of thoughtful people in india and abroad, who give modi his due credit, for honesty and ensuring an honest administration. but the need of the day, is one of inclusiveness of our minorities- religious, linguistic (though not to the same extent i think) and caste (which is virtually ignored - take our own tambrams for instance).

modi could re invent himself. he could ensure that at heart he is a man for all seasons. a gujarati, who will look after the welfare of all gujaratis. a thumping victory through endorsement from muslims could go a long way to increasing his stature.

otherwise, forever, he is doomed to the type of insults he is subject to outside of india.like the recent one at wharton. and his detractors, unfortunately, in their anxiety to put down modi, may cause more damage to india, and sabotage. talk of cutting off your nose to spite your face.

let us see what the future holds. for modi. for gujarat. for a modi india.

in all his pictures, the man does not smile. and does look arrogant. n'est pas?

 

[Nacchinarkiniyan]

Almost the entire English press is Anti-Modi and almost Anti-Hindu as well.

During the last election in Gujarat about 2000 NGOS worked against Modi in Gujarat.

These so called secular coalition of Casteist, communal parties, English Press and the NGOs hate Modi and traditional Hinduism.

The Press has an anti-Modi article almost every day.

 

[tbs]

Almost the entire English press is Anti-Modi and almost Anti-Hindu as well.

During the last election in Gujarat about 2000 NGOS worked against Modi in Gujarat.

These so called secular coalition of Casteist, communal parties, English Press and the NGOs hate Modi and traditional Hinduism.

The Press has an anti-Modi article almost every day.

hi
i heard somewhere...shri T N seshan said....all reporters need a bottle of whisky....if we provide a bottle whisky....they will

report nicely....even reporters are also corrupted....

 

[suraju06]

Dear Kunjuppu,

I have lived in Gujarat for sufficiently long to understand Gujaratis. Out of the numbers that the statistics gives as unemployed more than half are unwilling to be employed. A Gujarati, after graduation, if he finds himself to be not up to the mark academically, will prefer to start a pan shop rather than to look for an employment. Every where in Gujarat in public places you will find ads which scream "naukri chodo and start.........".

And by the by, I find a certain stridency in your post when you said "is one of inclusiveness of our minorities- religious, linguistic (though not to the same extent i think) and caste (which is virtually ignored - take our own tambrams for instance)". Or have I got you wrong on language in which I am poor?

You also said "otherwise, forever, he is doomed to the type of insults he is subject to outside of india.like the recent one at wharton. and his detractors, unfortunately, in their [COLOR=#DA7911 !important]anxiety[/COLOR] to put down modi, may cause more damage to india, and sabotage".

Do you seriously believe that Modi has been insulted? The American Ivy League may think of itself as the final arbitrators of what is intelligence and class. But they live in an Ivory Tower. The IIMs IITs and Universities from India do the initial precision machining and Ivy League picks up from there to buff and polish and finish. By spiting a brave-heart and knowledge source like Subramanian Swamy and a selfless political leader like Modi Ivy League has revealed how ordinary it is becoming.

Cheers.

 

[Nacchinarkiniyan]

hi
i heard somewhere...shri T N seshan said....all reporters need a bottle of whisky....if we provide a bottle whisky....they will

report nicely....even reporters are also corrupted....

That is true. I have done it for my company often enough. But in this case the instructions come from the group controlling the TV Channel, Newspaper, magazine. The more virulent the attack on Modi, the standing of the writer goes up.

 

[Nacchinarkiniyan]

Times of India is one of the most virulent attackers of Modi. There is an article almost every day attacking Modi. And articles about how great Bihar is. According to TOI Bihar is the best state in India and Nitish Kumar the best leader India has ever seen.

 

[Naina_Marbus]

……
in all his pictures, the man does not smile. and does look arrogant. n'est pas?

How true. Here is a sampler.

 

[கால பைரவன்]

Almost the entire English press is Anti-Modi and almost Anti-Hindu as well.
During the last election in Gujarat about 2000 NGOS worked against Modi in Gujarat.
These so called secular coalition of Casteist, communal parties, English Press and the NGOs hate Modi and traditional Hinduism.

The Press has an anti-Modi article almost every day.

Hi Nacchi,

I agree with your observation. While main-stream media (MSM) has always been partial to Congress and hence anti-BJP, the impartial treatment meted out to Modi and his govt in Gujarat is unprecedented.
What, in your opinion, sets Modi apart to the extent that he is being systematically targeted by MSM?

 

[Naina_Marbus]

Here is a report dated Sep 14, 2011 in the Times of India:

Narendra Modi's Gujarat best example of effective governance: US report

WASHINGTON: Identifying Gujarat as perhaps the best example of effective governance and impressive development in India, a Congressional research service report (an independent organization) showered praise on the chief minister Narendra Modi and said that the state under him has become a key driver of national economic growth.

Of course, subsequently, politics had its role to play. Shortly after this report, NewsX( a television channel) interviewed a visiting US Assistant Secretary of State Robert Blake. According to this channel, Blake said in no uncertain terms that the report did not reflect the Obama administration's view.

 

[Brahmanyan]

Times of India is one of the most virulent attackers of Modi. There is an article almost every day attacking Modi. And articles about how great Bihar is. According to TOI Bihar is the best state in India and Nitish Kumar the best leader India has ever seen.

Not only TOI, but almost all English Media, including "The Hindu of Madras" is spreading some negative news about Mr.Narendra Modi on daily basis. Yes, Bihar is great, even a Km of good road will look great achievement in Bihar, it was in such a miserable state when the previous rule ended. Let some one in the English media tell us why Biharies are migrating to other States in search of jobs when their State is great. I have not come across the name of any big industrial group that has come to Bihar in recent times?In Bangalore almost all construction activities are done by migrant labour from Orissa, Bihar and Bengal.

Regards,
Brahmanyan,
Bangalore.

 

[sarang]

let 80% of the population become pro modi and pro hindu. Only hindus can ensure the safety of all. What happened in pakistan, bangladesh, korea and many such countries will happen in bharath too.

Almost the entire English press is Anti-Modi and almost Anti-Hindu as well.

During the last election in Gujarat about 2000 NGOS worked against Modi in Gujarat.

These so called secular coalition of Casteist, communal parties, English Press and the NGOs hate Modi and traditional Hinduism.

The Press has an anti-Modi article almost every day.

 

[sarang]

How Business Standard and BBC had to retract a story on Gujarat

Ahmedabad, 3 May 2012
Few people know how a group of Modi supporters on Twitter exposed BBC and Business Standard’s false reporting on Gujarat. Both Business Standard and BBC were compelled to change the version of their stories by midnight. BBC had to change the heading. While earlier heading was questioning Gujarat’s economic progress, the corrected heading backed Gujarat’s claims of economic progress.

By midnight, Business Standard corrected the version, and mentioned in the foot note that ‘this column has been modified to incorporate corrected data.’ Embarrassed BBC and Soutik Biswas too had to change the heading and correct the text. So the old heading on BBC was ‘Is Gujarat Red Hot Economy a Myth?’ And the new heading was ‘Gujarat IS a red hot economy’.

http://deshgujarat.com/2012/05/03/how-business-standard-and-bbc-had-to-retract-a-story-on-gujarat/

Even The HIndu carried a first page false report on Gujarat; when it got a letter from the gujarat government PRO listing out the mistakes in the report, hindu was forced to publish a correction and tender apology. I wish the hindu had been taken to court and made to pay a huge amount.

 

[suraju06]

If Modi comes to power as PM of the country, many a holy cow in this country will be truly domesticated and will be tied to a pen to yield.

People wait for that day.

Cheers.

 

[sarang]

Let truth be known about Modi

europe and UK have become wiser. US as usual will be late! Full article is worth reading.

ETHICS & POWER
RAM JETHMALANI
March 9, 2013

http://www.sunday-guardian.com/analysis/let-truth-be-known-about-modi

The UPA government, on coming to power in 2004, put in place its most accomplished experts to meticulously draw up its corruption road map, which it succeeded in implementing with precision until the scams exploded in public space. Post-mortem reports of the 2G scam, the ISRO Devas deal, the Commonwealth Games fraud, to name a few, clearly establish this. I have no doubt that future historians will place the UPA in the same league as other plunderers of India, like Ghazni and the Pindaris.
]
Another road map uppermost in the Congress agenda was towards the political assassination of Narendra Modi, and banishing him from India's political firmament forever, using the unfortunate post Godhra riots as a handle. Congress think tanks worked overtime to draw up a comprehensive, multifaceted strategy of slander, false accusation, governmental and non-governmental disinformation, Goebellesian lies, aimed at converting falsehood into belief among the general population, opinion leaders and influential intellectuals.

The enemies of India desperately tried to turn the unfortunate Gujarat riots into a global issue and grievously tarnish Gujarat and Modi through their strategy of repeating lies. But the same Europeans who had succumbed to Teesta Setalvad's pogrom and state sponsored riot theory in 2002, appear to have realised their mistake, and are now graciously making amends, not to mention the overtures made to Modi by the UK and the US.

 

[sangom]

Well, I am an admirer of Modi right from 1992 when I was transferred to Ahmedabad and was working there for two years. Modi is admired by most hindus and the tabras settled in Maninagar area are no exception to this. His rule for more than 10 years has seen a Gujarat without any communal clashes which was, till his time, endemic in most parts of Gujarat and a serious cause of loss of lives and property. Today, both the hindu as well as the ordinary muslim carrying on his business, admire Modi for this clashes-free gujarat and they are not unduly bothered by the 2002 events.

What I have heard from my friends (all hindus, of course) is that Modi knew what was happening during the 2002 riots, he also knew the mindset of the muslims and so he decided to deal with the situation in a strict manner, not cowing down to the habitual muslim attack, plunder and shift the blame to hindus trick. Taking the cue, some hindu elements also put up strong resistance including counter attack. These counter attacks have now come handy to the pseudo-secular press and media; the congress government at the centre has no other argument to tarnish Modi's image and so it is actively encouraging this continuous attack on Modi with the hope that it might gain some votes.

All that said, I wish Modi does not really stake his name for PM-ship, because, Gujarat is an out-and-out business people's state where people want to make money and all the rest is secondary to them. As shri raju has stated the unemployment does not mean all those youth are jobless or incomeless; most of them may be self-employed but might have registered, in case there is some really good paying job coming through the Employment Exchanges. The people of other states (e.g., UP, Bihar, W. Bengal) are not like the Gujaratis and so Modi's model may not only not work elsewhere but may crash miserably too.

I don't wish Modi to exit his political career in that way. He should continue in Gujarat as PM and continue to be involved in the highest levels of Planning and implementation (say, Chairman of the Planning Commission).

 

[Brahmanyan]

Spotlight on Narendra Modi: Good growth but where are the jobs? Your Message

Mr.Narendra Modi is an honest person and an able administrator. He is clear in his views and does not depend on the support of others for his success. He may fit in for the post of PM, but he needs acceptance by all people of other States in India. Another person who has the qualities of a potential PM,with bright future, is Mr. Arun Jaitly, an excellent Parliamentarian, and a noncontroversial person. I am only sorry Mr Jaitly's talents are not being utilised fully by his party or the nation. Congress Party may have few bright persons with ability to lead the Country, unfortunately they are hidden by the dynasty and high command culture.

What we need today is a dynamic and energetic Leader with proven record of administrative ability to lead the Country. The recent performance of our scholarly PM in the houses of our Parliament is pathetic . He is an honest bureaucrat and neither a politician nor a statesman and lacks the dynamism required for a PM to lead a country like ours. I feel he should not have succumbed to the temptation to lead the Country, which ability he does not have. The success lies in understanding our limitations.

Brahmanyan,
Bangalore.

 

[sarang]

My definition of secularism is very simple - India first, says Narendra Modi

Modi had the dharmic courage to tell justice sachar (of the infamous sachar committee on muslim minorities, revealed by sachar in a tv interview) that he has done nothing for the muslims, he works only for gujaratis.

March 10, 2013 07:56 IST

Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi addressed Indians in the states of Edison, New Jersey, Chicago, Illinois in the US through video conferencing. Here are the highlights of what he said:

• My definition of secularism is very simple - India first
• If we think of India first all the time, secularism will take care of its own

Sarve Samachar

 

[sravna]

It is a general tendency for those who are exercising control over the world to stifle any threat to that status. The ban by the U.S and previously by Europe on Modi can be explained in that light. But the latter seeing the popularity of Modi realized that it can't afford to treat the potential leader of a big democracy such as India that way and lifted the ban on pragmatic compulsions. The U.S still remains adamant. I think even in the case of the U.S. pragmatism will eventually win.

 

[Naina_Marbus]

If Modi comes to power as PM of the country, many a holy cow in this country will be truly domesticated and will be tied to a pen to yield.

People wait for that day.

Cheers.

Interesting point of view. And I am reminded of Oliver Goldsmith’s
‘Elegy on the Death of a Mad Dog’:

Good people all, of every sort,
Give ear unto my song;
And if you find it wondrous short,
It cannot hold you long.

In Islington there was a man,
Of whom the world might say
That still a godly race he ran,
Whene'er he went to pray.

A kind and gentle heart he had,
To comfort friends and foes;
The naked every day he clad,
When he put on his clothes.

And in that town a dog was found,
As many dogs there be,
Both mongrel, puppy, whelp and hound,
And curs of low degree.

This dog and man at first were friends;
But when a pique began,
The dog, to gain some private ends,
Went mad and bit the man.

Around from all the neighbouring streets
The wondering neighbours ran,
And swore the dog had lost his wits,
To bite so good a man.

The wound it seemed both sore and sad
To every Christian eye;
And while they swore the dog was mad,
They swore the man would die.

But soon a wonder came to light,
That showed the rogues they lied:
The man recovered of the bite,
The dog it was that died.

 

[sangom]

It is a general tendency for those who are exercising control over the world to stifle any threat to that status. The ban by the U.S and previously by Europe on Modi can be explained in that light. But the latter seeing the popularity of Modi realized that it can't afford to treat the potential leader of a big democracy such as India that way and lifted the ban on pragmatic compulsions. The U.S still remains adamant. I think even in the case of the U.S. pragmatism will eventually win.

I feel that the US is trying to get maximum business opportunity thru' GOI in the whole of India, rather than confining itself to the assured opportunities which Gujarat offers today. Slowly they will have to also converge to Gujarat only and then, with some very lame, face-saving excuses, the US will also shout "US-Modi bhai bhai". It is only a matter of time, I think.

 

[suraju06]

The day US-Modi Bhai Bhai happens, Namo's popularity will take a beating in his constituency in the country. It is politically advantageous for him to keep the pot boiling rather than to bring it to a close. I am sure he is aware of this.

 

[vsubbu48]

prasad,

if there is anyone here, who lives in gujarat, and can atleast give an opinion of a resident, it would be the first first hand feedback that i would be reading, if it be a biased one. for or against.

I went to Gujarat in 1971 and stayed in Gujarat for the next 40 years. As I was working in a bank in various positions I had the opportunity to closely observe the developments.

Gujarat state came into being in 1968 after separating from the then Mumbai state. Successive CMs followed industry friendly policies. There was a strong foundation for industrialisation of Gujarat even before the advent of Modi.

Then what exactly Modi did to deserve so much praise?

- Modi became CM in October 2001 i.e nearly 10 months after a very severe earthquake struck in Jan 2001. It was a heart-rending sight when I visited those places as part of my duty. Keshubhai Patel, CM, was found wanting and Modi replaced him.
- Modi's administrative ability came to the fore right from the word 'go'. He picked up one of the best IAS officers and asked him to set up a Disaster Management Authority, the first such entity in the country. He gave him full powers and backed him to the hilt. As a result, the rehabilitation work started at break-neck speed and within a period of two years full rehabilitation was achieved. He ensured corruption did not mar the rehabilitation efforts.
- With tax concessions, he attracted large industries to quake affected Kutch district to pave way for its industrialization. The transformation of this desert district is amazing.
-Modi's efforts at industrialisation of Gujarat is legendary and he is accused of pandering only to the big industries and businessmen. But it is not true. When the whole country was against BT cotton cultivation, he encouraged its cultivation in Gujarat. Cotton yields shot up and no cotton farmer in Gujarat committed suicide unlike Maharashtra and AP.
-He linked Narmada river with Sabarmati river. From Sabarmati river, canal and pipeline linkages were provided to carry drinking water to remote and parched districts. This is one of the major projects. While he provided water for farming, Modi insisted on payment for electricity. Gujarat is perhaps the only state in which the farmers pay for power. Agricultural growth in Gujarat is the highest in India.
-Gujarat is also number one in many of the poverty alleviation programmes and it has been acknowledged by the Planning Commission and other central ministries.
-Gujarat Jyoti Gram project is a scheme providing uninterrupted power supply to villages. A large number of villages have been covered. This has brought about a sea change in the rural economy. Labour migration has come down and industries are coming up in hitherto unknown places like diamond polishing units in small towns of arid Amreli district.
-Modi has developed a number of minor ports along the coastline in Saurashtra/Kutch region which is considered backward industrially.
-Modi understood that information is essential to run administration efficiently. Therefore, he has connected all the district headquarters with the capital through LAN and video conferencing. Thus he has all the developments in Gujarat at his fingertips and uses it to take decisions.

Modi is a man of vision and he says that he wants to compete with China. If India discords him the country, not him, will be the loser.

 

[Naina_Marbus]

An article in the “Daily Pennsylvanian” on the Wharton disinvite to Narendra Modi

By Francisco Gil-White •March 21, 2013

Narendra Modi, as chief minister of the Indian state of Gujarat, has been accused of “allowing” the Gujarat riots of 2002, which involved violent clashes between Hindus and Muslims. A picture has been painted of violent Hindus attacking peaceful Muslims and Modi as an instigator. Let us therefore examine how the media treated the events that sparked the Gujarat riots to better evaluate the climate of media accusations against Modi. Then we shall return to the Penn professors who agitated to keep him from coming to Wharton and their claims….

 

[vsubbu48]

Here is a link of an article by Col (Retd) Anil Athale that appeared in rediff.com. This article gives a different perspective on Godhra riots.

The Wharton brouhaha: Let's get the facts on Modi right - Rediff.com India News