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Why the US will power the world economy in 2015

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prasad1

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This article is for a global investor and may not make sense to others.

The United States is back, and ready to drive global growth in 2015.


After long struggling to claw its way out of the Great Recession, the world's biggest economy is on an extended win streak that is edging it closer to full health. But the new year doesn't look quite so bright in other major countries. China is slowing as it transitions from investment to consumption. Japan has slid into a recession. Russia appears headed for one. Europe is barely growing.


And the U.S.?


Six years after its financial system nearly sank and nearly that long since the recession ended, the United States is expected to grow in 2015 at its fastest pace in a decade. Its expansion from July through September — a 5 percent annual rate — was the swiftest for any quarter since 2003. That pace will likely ease a bit. Still, the economy is expected to expand 3.1 percent next year, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics. It would be the first year of 3 percent growth since 2005.


The acceleration of U.S. growth is a key reason the global economy is also expected to grow faster, at about 3 percent, up from 2.5 percent in 2014, according to economists at JPMorgan Chase and IHS Global Insight.

CHEERING CHEAPER OIL


Plunging oil prices are a big reason for the optimism. Prices have been cut roughly in half since summer. In some areas of the country, gasoline prices have slipped below $2 a gallon.

SWIRLING GLOBAL HEADWINDS
Even if the U.S. economy does strengthen further, the rest of the world could struggle. For one thing, faster growth will likely lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in 2015, which could draw more investment from overseas.

POWERING US CONSUMERS


In the United States, consumers are the main drivers of growth. And fortunes are looking up for more households. Employers are on track to add the most jobs in 15 years in 2014. As a percentage of income, Americans' debt has dropped to 2002 levels.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-us-power-world-economy-2015-170637164--finance.html
 
Contrarian View – only for the Indians. PIOs may quietly skip mypost !! LOL !

US Economy is in a mega mess with over 18 Trillion $ sovereigndebt & still climbing. Huge debt / leverage has always been the reason forall market collapse, whether it is the 80s Russian, famed LTCM, or the recent financialcollapse in 2007/8.

So with such a enormous sovereign debt, a massive USmarket collapse is in the offing, so the question is more on timing of whenthan if.

In the last 4+ yrs, all other markets have underperformedor dragged, whether it is Japan, Europe, or China. China has been on a slowdown with the soft landing approach adopted by the govt. Hence money is flowingback to the US as $ is the hard currency.

Given the fresh victory from the polls, the republicansare coming with a new found energy to not just tighten the democrats, they willdrastically start cutting the debt down triggering a massive slowdown. If USgoes down, it will impact all emerging markets, so the Indian markets also willgo down.

In the event the republicans do not force the govt, theUS will trigger a sovereign default in 2015 or max 2016.

Either way, be ready for another massive market collapsein the range of 30 to 40% or more !!

So people who are heavily leveraged in the stock market arebetter off by deleveraging out & keeping the holdings to a minimal.

PS: Don’t be surprised if all the PIOs rush to India afterthe famous dreamland USA collapse - LOL!!

 
The image of the wealthy NRI from America is poised to get a puffy boost following estimates from the investment firm Merrill Lynch that there are 200,000 millionaires of Indian origin in the United States alone.




If that seems a staggering count -- it would mean one in every nine Indians in the US is a millionaire (in dollars), considering their total population is 1.8 million.

And you are feeling sorry for them? Expect them to come back to Chennai for what? I just thought some people are ignorant, but some are beyond ignorance, they are downright XXXXX.
 
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yes, some are beyond ignorant & downright XXXXX. Itmay just be that you are the one in this list - LOL !!

with 18 trillion deficit & a grid locked politicalsystem, sovereign default or massive monetary tightening is a foregoneconclusion, this will trigger a massive market collapse.

When that happens, the US $ currency will collapse likewhat happened with the Russian Rubble – LOL !!

And with the currency, the stocks, property, everythingwill go up in fumes..

And this great statistics of 1 in 9 being a millionaire,will quickly become 9 in 10 in utter poverty rushing to Chennai & all thetowns in Tamil Nadu. Amma is proving 3 rs food, similar to the food stamps inUSA – LOL !!!

It is better for people who do not understand finance, macroeconomics not to comment & show their ignorance & downright XXXXX.

LOL !!

 
Hi

When you are discussing the American Economy, I would like you to see this Youtube Video: ...sorry I am informed that I cannot give a link. Please go to Youtube and get this video: We're #1... in Debt! | Jesse Ventura Off The Grid - Ora TV
Jesse Ventura is contemplating to run for Presidency as a non-party candidate ....For the last few days I have been watching Jesse Ventura uploads in the Youtube and found them to be interesting and revealing !

Regards,

Ramakrishnan
 
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