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Bypoll results: BJP suffers setback in Rajasthan, loses ground in UP

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BJP has got only one vote catcher-modi

He did not campaign in these byelections

BJP lost because of that .

Rahul gandhi also did not campaign

Perhaps congress won because of that .lol
 
This is the second time BJP is facing some embarrassment in the By Polls . No doubt By elections are based on local issues but considering the very big mandate BJP got in the Parliamentary elections 3 months back , these results would really shock them and make them come out of their comfort zones and address all issues seriously and not just take the MODI WAVE for granted .
 
Rajasthan: In a jolt to the Vasundhara Raje government, the opposition Congress wrested three Assembly seats of Weir, Nasirabad and Surajgarh from the ruling BJP which could retain only the Kota seat.


Out of four Assembly seats which went to polls on September 13, BJP managed to win only one, bringing down its strength in the 200-member Rajastahn Assembly to 160 from 163.

That is amazing, people love Raje's government, at least in Jaipur.
 
This is the second time BJP is facing some embarrassment in the By Polls . No doubt By elections are based on local issues but considering the very big mandate BJP got in the Parliamentary elections 3 months back , these results would really shock them and make them come out of their comfort zones and address all issues seriously and not just take the MODI WAVE for granted .
even the stock market does not take state bye elections seriously.

what matters is lok sabha seats

BJp retained vododara, SP retained mulayams seat inmainpuri and TRS got one in medak

BJP should not worry too much

Only for Amit shah , it is a setback . He will realise what he is without modi.
 
Rajasthan: In a jolt to the Vasundhara Raje government, the opposition Congress wrested three Assembly seats of Weir, Nasirabad and Surajgarh from the ruling BJP which could retain only the Kota seat.


Out of four Assembly seats which went to polls on September 13, BJP managed to win only one, bringing down its strength in the 200-member Rajastahn Assembly to 160 from 163.

That is amazing, people love Raje's government, at least in Jaipur.
last time it was modi wave.

now we know what is vasundhara without modi.

she seems to have lost as she tried rolling back the welfare schemes of gehlot govt affecting common folk
 
In Rajasthan the young Congress Captain, Sachin Pilot is the architect of the victory!In UP the BJP mascot Yogi Adityanath who was spearheading the Love Jihad campaign has got so much of negative votes because of its adverse publicity! But has Modi lost? Still I cannot vouch for that! For BJP most crucial are the Aasembly elections in Maharashtra & Haryana in October and it has to win both to keep BJP in reckoning!!
 
In my view Shri Narendra Modi overplayed his LokSabha election campaign and led people to believe as though Modi will usher in a real "Rama Rajya" in the very next morning after he took the oath of office as PM. This, I think, will affect his government adversely. Added to this is the many BJP- & RSS- loyalists coming out with their own bizarre statements, all of which reveal a distinct anti-Muslim and pro-hindutva ideology. Then again Modi has promised the people, nearly impossible things like clean Ganga, clean India, latrines in all the girls' schools across the country, etc., while, on the other side he is seen pleading with every foreign country, to come and invest in India. To my unsophisticated mind, this looks like some heads of families borrowing moneys from every possible outsider and, being unable to repay, finally the whole family ends up as paupers!

The prime need today is to make this country more competitive in international markets, increase the productivity of our labour force and ensure that Indian products are of the highest possible quality. This requires a so-called "paradigm-shift" as the phrase goes, in the mentality of the whole population. And, perhaps, this kind of change can be brought about only by a benevolent dictatorship for some time. We, the people, of course have the choice to voluntarily change our ways of life, thinking and attitude to our work, or else, prepare ourselves for a piece of action from ISIS/Al queda or some such similar dispensation!!

The quicker we people realize this, the better for ourselves, our families and to the country itself !!
 
Namo sold dreams to gullible people

when dreams come crashing down with high prices , inflation and water ,power shortages, there is bound to bea backlash.

add to it the the hindutva ideology promoted by obscure sadhus with hate campaigns against other religion have turned off all decent people

if the govt sincerely implements the economic agenda and gives a clean and honest administration they will be preferred else they will be thrown out faster than they think

majority in parliament cannot help them if people get disgusted.people are wise. they will look for alternatives and punish those who do not measure up
 
Namo sold dreams to gullible people

when dreams come crashing down with high prices , inflation and water ,power shortages, there is bound to bea backlash.

add to it the the hindutva ideology promoted by obscure sadhus with hate campaigns against other religion have turned off all decent people

if the govt sincerely implements the economic agenda and gives a clean and honest administration they will be preferred else they will be thrown out faster than they think

majority in parliament cannot help them if people get disgusted.people are wise. they will look for alternatives and punish those who do not measure up

Yes you are right, I have been writing about these outlandish statements by RSS & BJP underlings. Mr. Modi has to Zip up the mouth of these fire brands. In the process he should also look at our site for these Minority-bhashing members. LOL
 
It is strange that people are saying that Modi govt will crash because of inflation. Complete opposite of reality when inflation is at 5 year low. Dont trust me, trust Reuters:

Aug WPI inflation eases to near five-year low of 3.74 percent | Reuters

The people who write the demise of Modi government are premature. Modi is yet to find his MoJo yet. He needs to control the loose cannon of his administration. India is not Gujarat, Amit shah is finding it out. Gujarat model may work for India, but it needs to be fine tuned.

Like Sangomji said people's expectations were too high.
 

It was a direct fight between BJP and Congress in Gujarat and Rajasthan, where BJP achieved 100% success in the Lok Sabha election. Repeating 100% is a difficult proposition. Even in the last Assembly election when NAMO was CM, BJP got one seat less.

In UP, it was a four corner contest during Lok Sabha election, and became a three corner with BSP abstaining. BSP's votes might have gone to SP. But this is only a guessing.

The only silverline for BJP is that it has won one seat in West Bengal after more than a decade. The margin of victory was less compared to Lok Sabha polling.

But it becomes necessity for BJP to introspect and take corrective measures, since Maharashtra and Haryana Assembly elections are scheduled during Oct. They cannot live on NAMO charisma any more.
 
The Samajwadi Party's Akhilesh Yadav had no such credentials to flaunt in UP. But his task and that of his father, Mulayam Singh Yadav, was made easier by contradictions inherent to the Yogi's anti-Muslim agenda and the "development for all" promise that had fetched Modi a thumping mandate.


The politics of fear Adityanath--and myriad RSS outfits at his disposal--knitted around the so-called Muslim 'love jihad' flew in the face of Modi's call for a 10-year moratorium on societal conflict. It generated apprehensions that the PM looked the other way in tacit approval of the Sangh's strategy to make Hindus vote as a monolith. But the game plan had holes. The free hand BJP chief Amit Shah gave to Adityanath wasn't a study in isolation. It coincided with the marginalisation within the organisation of the party's known faces in UP: Murli Manohar Joshi, Rajnath Singh, Kalraj Mishra and Varun Gandhi.


A structured sociological project would explain better the anatomy of the vote that felled the BJP.
On first glance it seems that these leaders' exclusion from the campaign--not to mention the short shrift they got in Delhi--could have alienated the forward castes that rooted upfront for Modi in the parliamentary polls. The BJP's other mistake ostensibly was of losing sight of the voters' socio-economic profile. Daily wagers abound in hundreds of thousands in UP. They toil daily for a square meal, a prerequisite for which is communal peace, not curfew. Here the Hindu mobilisation the party attempted against 'love jihad' was at cross purposes with the dreams it sold them of a quality life a little over three months ago.
The moral the party would miss at its own cost is that when two-timed, the electorate punish hard. They withdraw affection at the first sign of betrayal.


The lesson can be best applied in Maharashtra, where the chances of competitive communalism between the BJP and the Shiv Sena in the October elections have receded with by poll debacles in UP, Rajasthan and to some extent Gujarat. Currently quibbling over seat-sharing, the NDA allies would be better off without xenophobes and rabble rousers. The state that's home to the country's financial capital would heed development, not calls that foment confrontation.
Lesson for BJP from bypolls: think beyond 'Modi wave' - Hindustan Times
 
Bypolls tell BJP to not give up on the development agenda:
It is just four months ago that the BJP won the parliamentary elections in extraordinary style, riding high on the promise of development and a huge groundswell of support for its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi. In fact, it would not be wrong to say that after the mega win and the Congress’ comatose condition, the saffron party had started to look almost invincible. But then looking at the bypoll scorecard on Tuesday, who could say that now? The saffron party has suffered big reverses in the key state of Uttar Pradesh, where it did extremely well in the May general elections and is keen to come to power in the next round of assembly elections in 2017; it has ceded considerable ground in two other prestige fights: Rajasthan, which it had won back from the Congress in the 2013 assembly polls, and Gujarat, which has been a party fortress for years. The only silver lining, indeed a bold one, was in West Bengal, where it won the South Basirhat seat, marking the opening of the party’s account in the state’s 294-member assembly, which is dominated by the Trinamool Congress. Many would attribute this win to its aggressive statewide campaign focusing on the multi-crore Saradha chit-fund scam, which has singed the Trinamool Congress badly. However, Tuesday’s results are not the first post-May 16 jolt that the BJP has got: In July, the Congress bagged all three seats on offer in the Uttarakhand bypolls. In August, the BJP suffered a 4-6 defeat at the hands of the RJD-JD(U)-Congress alliance in Bihar and yielded two strongholds to the Congress in Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh.
 
Yogi Adityanath must have been hoping that his recent anointment as the new Mahant of Gorakshpeeth would coincide with a celebratory victory run in the UP byelection, which he spearheaded. That other relic from the Ramjnmabhoomi movement, Unnao MP, Sakshi Maharaj, was upping the ante too by putting out an alleged Muslim rate card for girls from different communities to entice them in love jihad conspiracies.

The surprise byelection result from 11 UP constituencies has now halted their Ram run. It offers a salutary lesson to the BJP: put the hardline loonies back in the closet and go back to what you campaigned in the Lok Sabha for. Good governance.
In an election where BSP’s Behenji did not contest and where the BJP held 10 of 11 assembly seats, its reverses are stunning. It is also a defeat for its experiment with denying issues like love jihad at the Centre and making it the sharp edge of the trishul at the local level in UP.
The antics of Yogi Adityanath, five time MP from Gorakhpur were well known. Those of Unnao MP Sakshi Maharaj less so. His website memorably describes him “India’s greatest sensuous acharya’, apart from his full title as Mandleshwar Dr. Swami Sachchidanand Hari Sakshi Ji Maharaj.

Modiji please banish these cartoonish characters, and bring back your economic agenda, and show some real results. Otherwise it is dark days ahead.
 
Before the elections, BJP was accused of playing communal politics to win the by-polls.

But is is now clear it is the sickular parties who benefitted in the elections. Therefore they must be the ones who fanned the communal riots in UP. Something the resident anti-hindutva people won't acknowledge I am sure.
 
I suppose you can see it either way.
But these elections are BJP's to win. They demonstrated it, somehow they lost it now.
The communal hatred spread by BJP and RSS came to bite them.
As Sarangji would say the aam admi knows best.
 
After election time, everyone pontificates the reasons for a party's victory or defeat. So let me give my opinion too.

BJP lost because it forgot about its promise of treating everyone equally. It too continues to follow minority apeasement politics. All communal laws designed and enacted by previous govt that are detrimental to the Hindu interests continue to apply.Just a few days before there was a full page AD by the ministry of minority affairs about GOIs promise to continue special sops for "minorities" along the same lines of Congress. People have realized BJP's promise of "sabkaa saath sabkaa vikaas" was bogus. So some section of hindus went back to their caste satraps such as SP, RJD etc. BJP cannot compete against established "secular" parties in winning minority votes despite its minority appeasement. End result is BJP's loss and they may have to wait for a much longer time to come back to power if and when they lose it next time.
 
கால பைரவன்;261582 said:
After election time, everyone pontificates the reasons for a party's victory or defeat. So let me give my opinion too.

BJP lost because it forgot about its promise of treating everyone equally. It too continues to follow minority apeasement politics. All communal laws designed and enacted by previous govt that are detrimental to the Hindu interests continue to apply.Just a few days before there was a full page AD by the ministry of minority affairs about GOIs promise to continue special sops for "minorities" along the same lines of Congress. People have realized BJP's promise of "sabkaa saath sabkaa vikaas" was bogus. So some section of hindus went back to their caste satraps such as SP, RJD etc. BJP cannot compete against established "secular" parties in winning minority votes despite its minority appeasement. End result is BJP's loss and they may have to wait for a much longer time to come back to power if and when they lose it next time.

My pontification is that those who turn up to vote are likely to be from the opposition after a major victory by a party.
The set back may or may not have a message from the public except it is a big deal for media types
 
BJP would realize that only constructive policies of the government will benefit the people and make all of them happy. BJP should not resort to divisive policies if it wants to continue to stay in power. It has to raise its level and stand apart from the other parties for its own good and for the good of the country.
 
I have a feeling that Modi would been disinclined to act on communal lines given all his goodwill gestures after he came to power. There may have been pressure on him. If that is the case, Modi would emerge stronger in the party after this poor show in the elections by the BJP.
 
Look at the analysis done by The Hindu...As per this it does not look like a setback!

BJP slides in by-polls, but history backs trend - The Hindu

However, winning a big mandate in general election has never been a guarantee of sweeping by-elections. In October 2004, in the first by-polls after it came to power in April-May 2004, the Congress won just 16 of 46 seats – nearly the same proportion as the BJP just won. In those by-polls too, the Congress won fewer seats than it held, coming down from 18 seats to 16 seats, The Hindu found.
Political researchers Rahul Verma and Paranav Gupta of the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies analysed 1,100 by-elections for Assembly seats and 213 by-elections for parliamentary seats that took place between 1967 and 2012. They found that the ruling party in the State was more likely to win the by-polls than the ruling party in the centre. In fact, when the incumbent party at the State and Centre were different – as is the case with the Samajwadi Party in Uttar Pradesh at the moment – the party ruling in the State was twice as likely to win the by-poll. Even so, by-polls were an indicator of purely local dynamics, and not even State-level trends, they found.
 
It seems to me that more than local dynamics at work here. Otherwise how would one explain the poor show in Rajasthan and loss of seats in Gujarat. It seems Congress and SP have effectively made BJP's strategy work against it.
 
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