//If there's one person they're going after and there's thirty-four people in the building, thirty-five people are going to die.//
How True!! This is exactly what happened in Bombay on 26/11.Only who was going after and who was gone after are different here!!
//Leaving the moral angle aside for the moment, utter disregard for collateral damage like the above is the reason today's hardliners are turned into future terrorists.//
Hardliners are produced not from the ruins of a city but more from the classrooms of mushrooming madrassas where indoctrination goes on after catching them young.Living example Ajmal Kasab.
//Counter insurgency is not an end, it is a means to achieve certain goals. My fear is this measure will only exacerbate long term stability. This is why we must look at history and learn.//
Long term stability at what cost? Yeah, we must learn from history. How many times Hitler was pardoned? Even when Poland was raped there were those who advocated long term stability of Europe and appealing to the reasonableness of Nazi leader. History is useful. But if allowed to repeat itself it can land every one in a mess.
//Is Indian counter insurgency in Kashmir a success? May be it is, only time can tell. Yesterday there was a news item about discovery of a mass grave that included civilians. New thinking for solving Kashmir is necessary.//
A success without any parallels. Elections have been conducted and people have elected Governments in a free expression of choice.No sham elections because there were international observers monitoring these elections. If this is not success what else is? In all insurgencies the initiative for mischief always rests with the insurgents and Government only responds. The discovery of graves, reports of molestation/rape of innocent girls are all charges which fly in the face of determined effort to put down insurgency. For that reason they have to be taken with a pinch of salt.
//The so called surge in Iraq came after ethnic cleansing of the provinces was already mostly complete, and the Sunni war lords were already bought and paid for. Nothing of that sort has happened in Afghanistan.
Protecting population centers means patrolling cities. Just the very sight of foreign forces entering their villages and towns with their guns drawn is enough to send even the most docile of brahmins to rise up with anger, let alone fiercely militaristic Afghans. Nothing good is likely to come out of this.//
In Afghanistan it is not as easy as Iraq. Iraq had already alienated all its neighbours under Saddam. When US army landed there Saddam was alone to defend himself. Afghanistan is a different ball game. You have an old enemy Iran on one side,a mercinery Pak on another side just waiting for an opportunity to double cross and the cat-on-the-wall Uzbek on the northern border. None of these are friends of US but all of them had contributed to the warlord population of Afghanistan liberally in the past. Winning a war is not just a victory on the battlefield. It becomes immensely complex while moving to the phase of holding territory. Only with time fatigue sets in and with fatigue comes good sense and control of territory. So we have to wait out. There are no quick fixes.
//After sending 30,000+ additional troops into a nation that can never be a threat to the U.S. and a depleted Al Qaeda of around 100, an estimate given by none other than the Chief of the joint staff Adm. Jones, president Obama is headed to Oslo to accept the peace prize. Reality is stranger than fiction!!!//
Peace is the fruit of constant vigil. Obama and the US deserves the prize.
How True!! This is exactly what happened in Bombay on 26/11.Only who was going after and who was gone after are different here!!
//Leaving the moral angle aside for the moment, utter disregard for collateral damage like the above is the reason today's hardliners are turned into future terrorists.//
Hardliners are produced not from the ruins of a city but more from the classrooms of mushrooming madrassas where indoctrination goes on after catching them young.Living example Ajmal Kasab.
//Counter insurgency is not an end, it is a means to achieve certain goals. My fear is this measure will only exacerbate long term stability. This is why we must look at history and learn.//
Long term stability at what cost? Yeah, we must learn from history. How many times Hitler was pardoned? Even when Poland was raped there were those who advocated long term stability of Europe and appealing to the reasonableness of Nazi leader. History is useful. But if allowed to repeat itself it can land every one in a mess.
//Is Indian counter insurgency in Kashmir a success? May be it is, only time can tell. Yesterday there was a news item about discovery of a mass grave that included civilians. New thinking for solving Kashmir is necessary.//
A success without any parallels. Elections have been conducted and people have elected Governments in a free expression of choice.No sham elections because there were international observers monitoring these elections. If this is not success what else is? In all insurgencies the initiative for mischief always rests with the insurgents and Government only responds. The discovery of graves, reports of molestation/rape of innocent girls are all charges which fly in the face of determined effort to put down insurgency. For that reason they have to be taken with a pinch of salt.
//The so called surge in Iraq came after ethnic cleansing of the provinces was already mostly complete, and the Sunni war lords were already bought and paid for. Nothing of that sort has happened in Afghanistan.
Protecting population centers means patrolling cities. Just the very sight of foreign forces entering their villages and towns with their guns drawn is enough to send even the most docile of brahmins to rise up with anger, let alone fiercely militaristic Afghans. Nothing good is likely to come out of this.//
In Afghanistan it is not as easy as Iraq. Iraq had already alienated all its neighbours under Saddam. When US army landed there Saddam was alone to defend himself. Afghanistan is a different ball game. You have an old enemy Iran on one side,a mercinery Pak on another side just waiting for an opportunity to double cross and the cat-on-the-wall Uzbek on the northern border. None of these are friends of US but all of them had contributed to the warlord population of Afghanistan liberally in the past. Winning a war is not just a victory on the battlefield. It becomes immensely complex while moving to the phase of holding territory. Only with time fatigue sets in and with fatigue comes good sense and control of territory. So we have to wait out. There are no quick fixes.
//After sending 30,000+ additional troops into a nation that can never be a threat to the U.S. and a depleted Al Qaeda of around 100, an estimate given by none other than the Chief of the joint staff Adm. Jones, president Obama is headed to Oslo to accept the peace prize. Reality is stranger than fiction!!!//
Peace is the fruit of constant vigil. Obama and the US deserves the prize.